Another salient essay from Thom Hogan about the non-growth of the mirrorless market when looked at from outside the market for interchangeable lens cameras.
Thom is more of a level-headed gear guy than I am. I'm the guy looking for soul and a long-lasting reason to invest in a single mount. So far, I see none. Even Fujifilm's X mount, as sexy as it may appear on the outside, doesn't harbour the soul of an analogue camera. So far, it is just a pretty face.
Not that either soul (or face) is necessary for success. But the missing pieces that brought Japanese cameras into dominance in the 20th century: price/performance, reliability, and mass market dominance, aren't there on the mirrorless side. Those pieces are being picked up by the smartphone market.
Which begs the question: for whom is the current mirrorless camera designed?
Source: The Economics Problem