Fujirumors's recent article quoted numbers, that on the face of it, look interesting to fans, and manufacturers of certain cameras. Of course, As Thom Hogan pointed out, interpreting data reveals bias.
As always, I scrolled through the entire comment section. And found this excellent summary by anonymous user, FCameron:
“Going by the charts, it appears Mirrorless peaked in the fall of 2012, and has never again attained that shipment market share.
At best it’s been bumping along at 25% for the last 5 quarters, and despite everything has been unable to penetrate any further. The recent trend then over those last several quarters is that both mirrorless and DSLR are holding their own. This is a far cry from the interweb prophets who for the last almost 8 years have been proclaiming the death of the DSLR.
Personally, I think the whole idea of mirrorless vs reflex is a false dichotomy. There is no one manufacturer for either. Some manufacturers make both. The cameras are far more alike than they are unalike. The mirrorless vendors themselves (Sony, Olympus, Fuji) are vendors who tried and failed to make it as DSLR vendors.
It’s not mirrorless vs reflex. It’s Sony vs Nikon vs Panasonic vs Fuji vs Olympus vs Canon vs Pentax vs Samsung. Each vendor wants to succeed on its own.
Sony is not content leaving money on the table for Fuji because Fuji is ‘mirrorless,’ and therefore some sort of ally. Samsung is happy to take sales from Olympus, they are not ‘partners’ because they don’t feature reflex viewing. They are competitors, all of them, with each other. Panasonic shareholders don’t make more money when Sony sells more mirrorless cameras. Each mirrorless vendor would be happy to see other mirrorless vendors go away.”
It certainly is more fair to think of it Company A VS. Company B, rather than one genre of camera VS. another. The camera industry is in decline. No one is doing well. Everyone is floundering. And as FCameron says, "everyone wants to succeed on its own".